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ALERT – Vitamin A is probably simple antidote to bird flu, mainstream literature shows

November 20th, 2005

You read it here first – hold those billions, Vitamin A blocks bird flu lung devastation

All the panic over H5N1 seems a little overblown when you consider that the virus has been around for eight years at least without morphing into a deadly human version that can sweep the globe from human to human. The very same H5N1 was the cause of the “Avian flu” outbreak in Hong Kong in 1997.

But just to reduce the hysteria a few more notches, we have decided to relent on our decision (at the end of the previous post) to be kind to the drug companies, officious officials, army of doomsayers and worryworts, posturing politicians, and all the other people whose interests mesh smoothly with maximum flu alarm, and announce with a trumpet fanfare the final solution to bird flu.

We at New AIDS Review thus proudly note today (Sun Nov 20), apparently for the first time in any form of media outside the medical literature, the references that tell what the ultimate solution to bird flu surely is: a modest dose of Vitamin A to anyone who contracts it.

You read right. The $7.2 billion question is this: why spend billions upon billions on massive and uncertain preventive measures such as

a) executing the few chickens owned by poor Asian families who may depend on them for survival

b) the unlikely effort to prevent H5N1 spreading among domestic fowl by vaccinating 5.1 billion birds in China and billions elsewhere in Asia (the Chinese eat 14 billion chickens a year, so even if a gigantic army of vaccinators is successfully recruited and swings into action, they will have to keep at it forever, as if they were repainting a hundred Golden Gate bridges annually),

c) stockpiling enough vaccine for humans which if it can be done will take months and may be evaded anyway by the evolving virus, and

d) distributing enough antivirals like Tamiflu to sink a ship when there is some question as to whether they will be effective against this virus (according to the British Medical Journal current issue 2005;331;1266 ‘How the Media Caught Tamiflu’)

when, according to the mainstream medical literature lying under the noses of the pontificating pundits and overly political scientists such as Anthony Fauci and the CDC brass who are on every TV channel this morning chinking their medals and repeating what the media have been hearing for months, the simple solution to H5N1 is this: give anyone who contracts deadly bird flu a dose of Vitamin A.

This will do the trick because Vitamin A reliably blocks the pathway of creation of deadly Tumor Necrosis factor in the lungs, which is the aspect of bird flu which is so deadly.

That is what the referenced papers say which we list below, which are readily available to any of these heroes of health for their bedtime reading.

Government without time to read

Why this grand army of well paid advisors, experts, commentators, WHO statisticians, field workers, corporate chieftains, Presidential advisors, think tank wonks, fast-talking current affairs hosts, and other luminaries have somehow overlooked them in their rush to judgement we hesitate to imagine.

Could it be that, in this age of information deluge, opinion making of every kind in the hottest issues of the day has now become completely divorced from factual information if that data is buried in any form of publication other than newspaper headlines and book reviews?

If so, it bodes ill for the future. Certainly there are already two huge signs that this is now true: Katrina and Iraq. In both cases, extensive written advisories were completely ignored.

As we all know, there were plenty of warnings in the form of levee engineering reports that a strong hurricane would flood New Orleans out of existence, written years before Katrina struck. So many, in fact, that even the leisurely PBS had time to send a documentary crew down there to make the same point some years ago.

In the case of Iraq, a report of thousands of pages of what to do with the country once the war was won was prepared by the State Department, in consultation with all kinds of experts and exiled Iraqis, for the Bush administration in advance of the invasion.

According to the New Yorker, it was filed in the White House waste basket.

The Avian flu-TNF-Vitamin A paper trail

Here are the references on Vitamin A and what they say, courtesy of library research by Robert Houston, long time medical investigator and nutrition researcher in New York City, who has lectured at the New School and frequently advises reporters on health and medical topics. He now writes to us:

Can Vitamin A Tame Bird Flu?

NewAIDSreview.com scoops the world’s media by being the first to reveal that recent scientific studies point to vitamin A as a potential remedy for bird flu.

It should be noted however that the normal requirement of vitamin A is only 5000 units per day (1.5 mg), and that the therapeutic levels range from 25,000 to 100,000 units (about 7 – 28 mg).

Unlike vitamin C, it cannot be taken in gram amounts; in fact, severe toxicity has occurred at 300 mg (1 million units). Other nutrients, such as the omega-3 fatty acids of fish oil, can also help to reduce TNF overproduction.

(see Grimble, R. et al. The ability of fish oil to suppress tumor necrosis factor-a production… Am J Clin Nutr 76:454-9, 2002.)

At these tiny amounts it should be possible to defend every person on earth from avian flu for a fraction of the cost of Tamiflu. There is already a system in place for distributing Vitamin A to children in seventy countries.

Here is the paper trail that Houston followed that shows fairly conclusively that a little Vitamin A will tame Avian Flu:

How we know that Vitamin A tames Avian Flu:

1. A report in 1996 stated that vitamin A counteracts TNF in the joints in the case of arthritis caused by Lyme disease, a finding which has been ignored by the Lyme disease establishment.

(Cantorna, M. and Hayes, E. Vitamin A deficiency exacerbates murine Lyme arthritis. J Infec Dis 174:747-51, 1996.)

2. Then it was shown in 2000 that vitamin A deficiency can result in injury to the lungs.

(Baybutt, R. et al. Vitamin A defiency injures lung and liver parenchyma and impairs function of rat type II pneumocytes. J Nutr 130(5):1159-65, 2000.)

3. Then two studies found that vitamin A protects the lungs from damaging effects of TNF.

(Besnard, V. et al. Protective role of retinoic acid from antiproliferative action of TNF-a on lung epithelial cells. Am J Physiol Lung Cell Mol Physiol 2822: L863-L871, 2002. First pub Dec 7 2001)

(Am J Physiol Lung Cel Mol Physiol 282: L863-71, 2002; Torii, A. et al. Vitamin A reduces lung granulomatous inflammation… Eur J Pharmacol 497 335-342, 2004.)

4. The fact that H5N1 flu targets the lungs and that TNF collects there was established in July also. The paper showed that avian flu occurs primarily in the lungs.

Bangkok investigators wrote that “We investigated a patient with fatal H5N1 influenza. Viral RNA was detected by PCR (reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction) in lung, intestine, and spleen tiossue, but positive stranded viral RNA indicating viral replication was confined to the lung and intestine. Tumor necrosis factor was seen in lung tissue…In contrast to disseminated infection documented in other mammals and birds, H5N1 viral replication in humans may be restriucted to the lung and intestine, an the major site of H5N1 viral replication in the lung is the pneumoctye.

(Influenza A replication sites in human sites in humans. Uiprasertkul M, etc al. Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand. Emerg Infect Dis 2005 Jul 11 (7):1036-41.)

5. A study from the National Health Research Institute in Taipei at the same time reported that vitamin A (retinoic acid) suppresses TNF production and does so by blocking the same signalling pathway (p38 kinase) which bird flu activates.

(Ho, L. et al. Retinoic acid blocks pro-inflammatory cytokine-induced matrix metalloproteinase production… Biochemical Pharmacology 70:200-208, July 15, 2005.)

6. The key breakthrough was published two months ago in August, confirming why the avian flu virus H5N1 is more deadly than other flu viruses. Scientists at the University of Hong Kong studied the H5N1 flu which broke out in Hoing King in 1997 and found that it hyperinduces tumor necrosis factor (TNF) in the body’s immune cells, causing severe autoimmune damage in the lungs where the virus localizes.

They say they hope that “these results may provide insights into the pathogensis of H5N1 disease and rationales for the development of novel therapeutic strategies.”

(Lee, D.C. et al. Hyperinduction of tumor necrosis factor alpha expression in response to avian influenza virus H5N1. J Virol 79(16):10147-54, Aug. 2005. The University of Hong Kong, Queen Mary Hospital,Pokfulam, Hong Kong Special Administratiuve Region, People’s Republic of China.)

As the last paper suggests, this knowledge about the modus operandi of Avian Flu can be used for the “development of novel therapeutic strategies”.

Our “novel strategy” is to ramp up Vitamin A production to straospheric levels and make sure there is enough for every man, woman and child on the planet. Since that would cost less than a few cents each, we reckon, it would save all of $10 billion right there in WHO salaries, Tamiflu patent royalties, Anthony Fauci television appearances, and all the other costs that modern health defenses are now saddled with.

But why haven’t Anthony Fauci and his cohorts at the NIH and CDC, not to mention the WHO, come up with this themselves? Why do they need an obscure onlooker to point it out to them?

It’s their job, after all, to protect us from this gigantic threat which they are saying may ruin the world. The ever authoritative Dr Fauci was saying on TV last night that, even if the virus never appears in lethal form, a vast effort to defend against it will be well worth the billions we can shovel at it. Shouldn’t Dr Fauci read the medical literature in between his many sessions under the TV lights repeating the same smug alarms?

One possibility as to why the medical authorities don’t know all this from reading their own literature, at bedtime if necessary, emerges from this sequence. It does help to be a nutrition expert who has researched Lyme disease, which is a relatively neglected and somewhat disputed area.

But then, so is nutrition a relatively neglected area, medically speaking, it seems to us. As a cause and cure of ailments, it is surely much more relevant than is suspected by many doctors in our commercial, drug-oriented system.

But of course, the unpatentable Vitamin A is no path to profits for the maker of Tamiflu, Swiss pharmaceutical giant Roche, a leader in an industry where profits are not as easy to come by these days.

Having the right drug in hand for a superbug can rescue the situation very rapidly for a drug company in hard times, as the case of Viropharma shows. Crucial Antibiotic Rescues Biotech Maker’s Finances

On the other hand, as the case of Viropharma also shows, meddling with Mother Nature by dosing her with an ever increasing array of drugs can lead to unintended side effects which make it ever more important to consider the more natural alternative of nutrient supplements. Apparently in this case it is drugs that beget the need for yet another drug:


C. difficile disease occurs when antibiotics used to treat a different infection wipe out the beneficial bacteria that normally reside in the colon. That leaves an opening for C. difficile, which is resistant to most antibiotics. The bacteria form spores that can persist for months on surfaces like toilets and can be transferred to patients from the hands of health care workers or visitors.

Is it too much to ask that Dr Fauci and his battalions of scientists and health workers take up our suggestion and research the saner route of a safe nutritional alternative in dealing with what they present as the global health threat of all time?

And while they are at it, perhaps they might apply the same revisionist thinking to AIDS, which according to the mainstream scientific literature they are also ignoring is the highest mountain of theoretical scientific and medical garbage that has ever accumulated.

The New York Times

November 9, 2005

Crucial Antibiotic Rescues Biotech Maker’s Finances

By ANDREW POLLACK

Roche, whose drug Tamiflu is in great demand as a preparation for a possible influenza pandemic, is not the only company reaping a financial windfall from a treatment for a contagious disease. And in this case, the health threat is not merely a potential one.

ViroPharma, a formerly struggling biotechnology company, sells Vancocin, the only drug approved to treat Clostridium difficile, a bacterium that already kills thousands of people a year in this country and is apparently becoming more common and more deadly.

The life-saving drug has turned out to be a financial lifesaver for ViroPharma which, almost by serendipity, acquired the American rights to Vancocin last November. Since then, in response to rising demand, the company has increased the price of the drug – its only product – three times by a total of 80 percent, to about $800 for a course of treatment.

With Vancocin sales expected to more than double this year to $120 million, ViroPharma, based in Exton, Pa., is profitable for the first time in its 11-year history. Its stock price is up 14-fold since reaching a 52-week low in April. On Monday, it rose nearly 15 percent, after the company announced higher-than-expected third-quarter profit and raised its estimate for sales of Vancocin this year, then it declined 91 cents yesterday, to $23.19.

But some doctors say the price increases are exploiting growing fears of the bacterium, while placing a burden on patients and those who take care of them. “It’s absolutely outrageous,” Dr. Daniel M. Musher, an infectious-disease specialist at the Veterans Affairs Medical Center in Houston, said of the price increases.

ViroPharma executives, as well as some other doctors and Wall Street analysts, defend the price as still relatively low compared with some other antibiotics like Azactam from Elan and Zyvox from Pfizer that are used to treat other infections. Those drugs can cost $1,000 to $2,000 for a course of treatment. They note, too, that ViroPharma has started a program to provide the drug free to those who cannot afford it.

And the company says that after losing money for years, it needs its profits from Vancocin to expand production of the drug and continue developing other potentially promising treatments for other diseases.

Vancocin’s target bacterium, known in scientists’ shorthand as C. difficile, causes severe diarrhea and a type of colitis, mainly in elderly hospitalized patients. According to one estimate, there are about 400,000 cases and about 5,000 deaths a year in the United States.

But comprehensive statistics are not available, and there is now some evidence that the incidence of infections has doubled since 2000 and that some cases are occurring outside hospitals.

Moreover, several hospitals have had outbreaks of a supervirulent strain that produces about 20 times as much colon-damaging toxin as typical strains. The toxic strain has been found so far in 14 states, as well as in Canada, Britain, the Netherlands and Belgium.

“This is another superbug,” said Dr. L. Clifford McDonald, an epidemiologist at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. At the annual conference in April of the Society for Healthcare Epidemiology of America, a session on C. difficile was entitled Apocalypse Next.

An outbreak of the virulent strain in Quebec province has killed hundreds of people since 2003, with one expert estimating the toll as high as 2,000. An outbreak in 2000 led to 44 colectomies, the removal of part of the colon, at the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, and 20 deaths.

At Somerset Medical Center in New Jersey, nearly 10 percent of deaths last year were in patients infected with C. difficile, double the rate of the previous two years, according to a poster presented at a meeting of the Infectious Diseases Society of America last month in San Francisco.

C. difficile disease occurs when antibiotics used to treat a different infection wipe out the beneficial bacteria that normally reside in the colon. That leaves an opening for C. difficile, which is resistant to most antibiotics. The bacteria form spores that can persist for months on surfaces like toilets and can be transferred to patients from the hands of health care workers or visitors.

Vancocin is an oral form of a powerful antibiotic, vancomycin, which is usually given intravenously. Low-cost generic versions of the intravenous drug are available, but reaching C. difficile in the colon is best done through oral medication.

While Vancocin is the only drug formally approved for C. difficile, most doctors first try off-label use of a generic antibiotic, metronidazole, which costs $10 to $80 for a course of treatment. Two studies published this year suggest that metronidazole is effective 70 to 80 percent of the time. While there is no head-to-head study showing Vancocin to be better, many doctors are starting to use it first, especially in severe cases.

That trend has helped ViroPharma, which is sponsoring seminars for physicians about C. difficile. “Vancocin is the treatment for your mother,” Dr. Colin Broom, ViroPharma’s chief scientific officer, said in an interview. “Metronidazole is the treatment for your mother-in- law.”

Dr. Broom was echoing a long-running joke in the field. But in a recent medical journal commentary asking, “Is it O.K. for Mom?” Dr. Dale N. Gerding, of the Hines Veterans Affairs Hospital and Loyola University medical school in Chicago, wrote that in most cases metronidazole still is effective – although patients should be monitored closely for signs that the drug is not working.

At its founding in 1994, ViroPharma set out to find a cure for the common cold, or at least a drug that would directly fight the cold virus rather than merely treat symptoms. But in 2002, the Food and Drug Administration rejected its drug, pleconaril, over safety questions. In the next two years, ViroPharma shrank to 35 employees from 435 .

With cash running low last year, the company began to look for a drug it could acquire to generate revenue. The investment bank Piper Jaffray had just had a deal fall through with a small biotechnology company to buy Vancocin from the drug’s developer, Eli Lilly, which has been de-emphasizing antibiotics. So Piper approached ViroPharma.

“We had never heard of the product,” said Michel de Rosen, ViroPharma’s chief executive. “We had never heard of C. diff.”

But ViroPharma noticed that prescriptions were growing and learned of the new superstrain of the bug. So last November, ViroPharma paid $116 million – double the company’s market value at the time – for the United States rights to Vancocin, borrowing about half the money needed. (Lilly still sells the drug outside the United States.)

ViroPharma executives say the drug’s success has surprised them. “We did not expect the change in medical need would be so rapid,” Mr. de Rosen said.

United States sales of Vancocin rose from $28 million in 2002 to $40 million in 2003 and $54 million last year, according to executives. The company said on Monday that it expected sales this year to surpass $120 million. ViroPharma’s stock market value is now about $1.3 billion.

The company raised prices for the drug by about 17 percent in December, an additional 26 percent in March and 22 percent more in August. Mr. de Rosen defended those moves, saying Lilly had not increased the price for 17 years. And even at the new price, he said, Vancocin saves money for the health care system by shortening hospital stays.

Dr. Neil O. Fishman, director of health care epidemiology and infection control at the University of Pennsylvania Health System and a consultant for the company, said that because Vancocin was a life-saving drug, “the price becomes nominal” – especially, he said, compared with cancer drugs that cost tens of thousands of dollars and might prolong lives by only a few months.

Wall Street analysts have reacted positively to the price increases. Thomas Wei of Piper Jaffray wrote in a note to investors in September that because Vancocin still cost less than comparable drugs for other life-threatening infections, prices could rise as much as 65 percent further. He predicted that the price would reach $1,000 by 2007.

“Given the lack of alternatives for the treatment of severe or complicated C. difficile associated diarrhea,” his note said, “there is the potential that there could be further upside to our new assumptions.”

In a survey of 44 doctors conducted in September by Lazard, more than two-thirds said the price increases would not cause them to reduce the use of Vancocin and nearly half said they expected to increase their use in the next 12 months.

But some doctors say their hospitals avoid paying for Vancocin by having patients swallow a generic intravenous form of vancomycin. While its unpleasant taste can cause nausea, some doctors say the two forms of the drug are essentially the same.

Dr. August J. Valenti, director of epidemiology and infection prevention at the Maine Medical Center, said this method saves $600 a treatment. His hospital took infection control measures after the number of cases of C. difficile began rising in 2002. “We were beginning to see far more relapses, and relapses after relapses,” Dr. Valenti said.

New drugs aimed at C. difficile, as well as a vaccine, are now in development by various companies, and some experts say they are needed. Genzyme is in the final phase of clinical trials of tolevamer, which works by binding and immobilizing the toxins produced by the bacteria. Because tolevamer is not an antibiotic, Genzyme hopes it will reduce relapses. Others developing drugs include ActivBiotics, Oscient Pharmaceuticals, Romark Laboratories, the team of Optimer Pharmaceuticals and Par Pharmaceutical, and the team of Medarex and the nonprofit Massachusetts Biologic Laboratories. Acambis is working on a vaccine.

Henri A. Termeer, Genyzme’s chief executive, said Vancocin’s price had risen because ViroPharma “looked at it as a single opportunity and they are utilizing it in that sense.” But he predicted that once competition arrived, the “tremendous pricing flexibility” that ViroPharma has had “may not be sustainable over time.”

* Copyright 2005 The New York Times Company

CFR runs all day session on Bird Flu, but ignores evident cure

November 16th, 2005

The Council of Foreign Relations ran a comprehensive update discussion of Avian Flu today (Wed Nov 16), filled with experts on the panels and in the audience in both NYC and in Washington.

Apart from showing that not much has changed since the global panic took hold a month ago, the event was chiefly of interest for the tone of voice and manner in which the review was conducted. That is to say, unhurried and confident, in the inimitable Council style. The topic may be the possibility of the death and illness of millions, and any solutions remote, but voices at the Council are untroubled, manners gracious, and phrasing formal, with no more stress than discussing the budget. Every male visible is wearing a dark suit.

This is typical Council stuff, a pow wow among the highly placed who have time to worry about world problems, one may feel, because their personal concerns are well taken care of. These guys live in offices on the national and international level where millions are small change, and their discussion of what has to be done seems to involve no doubt that anything necessary can be paid for. At times there seems an odd disconnect with the world of Asian poultry breeders whose household income depends on a few chickens. But here the rich are discussing how to save the whole world.

We took a few notes, hoping for major revelations, but if they came, we missed them as our attention wandered during the day. Already by 11 am it seemed clear that, if Tamiflu is ineffective against whatever form it takes, there is really no front line of effective defense against H5N1 once it has evolved into a 1918-type human flu virus, and that society will implode if this ever happens.

For the record, here are the notes:

At 3 pm the reassurances that catastrophe won’t be the case seem thin. The business panel seems to think the virus will jump the species gap to humans any day now. Meanwhile two of three cases have been fatal in China, and China promises to vaccinate all its 5.2 billion farm birds.

At 4pm, in fact, they move on to discussing what it will be like if the pandemic hits. First Laurie Garrett, the resident Council expert on the topic, says, in the wake of newspaper attacks on her and her institution as “Chicken Littles” this week, that she still considers the evolution of H5N1 into a human virus is a “very remote possibility”. But then she immediately points out that H5N1 has been very drastic so far, and promises to be so if it arrives in force. On the one hand, we must remember that if it breaks out in China travel to that region and even Fedex delivery will decline rapidly. On the other hand the virus will have escaped to points faraway by that time.

We take it that, newly sensitive to the charge of alarmism, she is trying to steer a middle course between Chicken Little and reasonable. The bottom line seems to be that Avian Flu is rather like a gamble on the lottery – unlikely but if it hits, huge. Bank failures probably won’t happen, but shares will nosedive, as others “buy the crisis”. The world will deglobalize and this will impact the world economy, which will stagger as it did here after 9/11, but for two years or more this time.

Back in the doomsayer mode, Garrett goes on to say that “A pandemic is not like a hurricane, it won’t come and then go away. We are looking at 18-24 months of waves of virus with different epidemics all over the world like a mosaic. The virus will be transforming itself as it goes. The 1918 virus was mild in its first wave. Maybe we will see hundreds of wavelets and multiple forms of virus. The vaccine against the first wave form may not be effective on the wave that follows 18 months later in the US. There might be trauma after trauma – New York City devastated, then a breathing period, then another trauma.

Plus there will be “an erosion of trust in government which cannot wave a wand to protect families, who will be left on their own to take care of themselves. Delivery systems will fall apart, just at the moment we in the US have moved everything we need to be made to China and then shipped here.” She can see it when she bikes down the West Side of Manhattan and watches huge container ships arrive full and leave empty. This trade will be disrupted for two years. During SARS she was not permitted to drive out of Beijing at the peak of the SARS epidemic, she reports, because the huge city was under quarantine. “Governments will try to act in some way, given they won’t have vaccine for everybody.”

But the US also exports a great, points out David Malpass, chief economist of Bear, Stearns. He is not so worried about an economic downturn. The US is in fact the greatest exporter in the world, he reminds us. So we won’t be left bare shelved. And he agrees this is a very low probability scenario, like nuclear terrorism. But only avian flu is global, Laurie points out. Dr Wong the panel member with a very difficult Chinese accent points out that the US consumer may not stop spending, but on the contrary, eat and drink all the more more merrily while it is still possible. After the Black Death there was a terrific boost to technology and invention he adds, apparently trying to look on the bright side of a terrific dive in population.

Not to be diverted from alarm, Laurie says there is a GIGO problem (garbage in garbage out) since we are all guessing at the science. But Africa might be truly devastated any way you look at it. It may play a very, very different role in the world two years later. Who knows how HIV will interact with H5N1? There will be a higher survival rate for the rich nations. How will Mexico feel about this afterwards, she asks, if we didn’t plan for sharing the assets?

What preparatory steps can we take? Technological exploration. Lot of communication, multilateraterally, the optimistic Dr Wong suggests. Mobilize resources in rich countries and send to poorer countries, with high international cooperation. Fulfil the ten core principles of international cooperation that President Bush signed onto, says Laurie Garrett. “We have to create some rules of the game” for a global community beyond economic cooperation. She is distressed that only 4% of the 2006 $7 billion US budget allocation announced by President Bush is destined for international targets. “You need to improve the surveillance and health infrastructure of all the developing countries of the world.”

A questioner from Washington suggests that poorer nations used to illness will get back to work faster. Yes agrees Garrett, during SARS GNP growth was unaffected in China because the workers were all locked into factories and put on longer schedules. Another problem will be recognizing the flu. High fever, dizziness, muscle fatigue are symptoms of other diseases as well as flu.

Says Garrett, we need a greater sense of comnmunity: “In the US and Canada we have really lost our sense of community, we dont know who in the same apartment building is infirm and need special care. In other parts of the world local community leaders are far more powerful than anyone higher up.” Yes, look at what happened in New Orleans compared with the tsunami, says moderator Sheryl WuDunn, industry and international business editor of the New York Times.

A questioner insists the the certainty of economic decline is 100%. Won’t David admit the economy will suffer badly? David says we are the world’s biggest exporter by far. We will handle the problem of supply fairly well. People are dying all the time of flu arund the world. Yes, half a million annually, Laurie says.

In the end we are all dead anyway, you mean? asks the moderator. Well, David says financial markets are frequently faced with probabilities and outcomes and they do a pretty good job of handling them. On the other hand, Laurie adds, in response to a woman who worries that we should have taken flu more seriously every year. “We should have met the flu vaccine quota instead of letting the production capacity collapse.”

A simple cure?

In other words, scores of points, nothing dramatically new and in the end, a pleasantly reassuring Council discussion glazed as usual with the Senatorial politesse which makes everything feel under control even if completely beyond control. No doubt as Garrett suggested at one point many of the billions to be spent by governments – many more that the $7 billion Bush budget allocation, it is clear – will amount to the same spinning of wheels.

Given this high level floundering Truthseeker believes at this point he should help out by mentioning that there are papers which suggest a possible solution to avian flu : simply to take Vitamin A supplement. At least three papers show that Vitamin A acts to block TNF – Tumor Necrosis Factor – in the lungs. Avian flu hyperinduces TNF in the lungs, which accounts for its high fatality rate.

In other words, the pandemic might reduce to an epidemic of flu like any other if enough Vitamin A is available. If it indeed proves to be the antidote, it will be interesting that it was not mentioned in this day of high level panel sessions – another indication that virtually nobody reads the medical and scientific literature any more, certainly not the advisers to the powerful.

But of course vitamin A is not the path for profits for any drug company, since it is hardly patentable. So probably this news will not be received with much enthusiasm by the kind of elite insider of capitalism that one meets at the Council.

Indeed, the idea that a pill or two of Vitamin A will reduce the greatest threat to physical and economic health heralded in three quarters of a century to mild flu seems likely to rain on a very large parade.

So maybe we won’t mention it after all.

AIDS millions disappear into unknown pockets in Uganda

November 14th, 2005

According to the Angola Press, it became apparent some time ago that some of the health aid millions which have poured into Uganda have vanished into someone’s pockets, but they are still not sure whose.

The Global Fund to fight AIDS, TB and Malaria has now relented and allowed the fund tap to be turned on again, but it is trying to insist that the promised enquiry will continue.

We record this item simply to indicate just how strong a motive African leaders have to maximize such inflow, by fully cooperating with whatever exaggeration of AIDS and other statistics international organizations produce.

Evidently it is fairly easy for hands to dip into these millions before the money reaches the accounts of the organizations it is intended for. If the alarm is raised, the accounting is sufficiently loose that it is not immediately obvious to whom the hands belong.

Global AIDS Fund lifts ban on Uganda, inquiries continue

Kampala, Uganda, 11/12 – Despite lifting its funding ban on Uganda, the Global Fund to fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria (GFATM) insisted that the country would still have to refund the stolen billions to the Geneva based organization.

Local civil society organizations have supported the lifting of the ban.

GFATM Secretariat Chief of Operations, Bradford Herbert, told journalists here that the secretariat decided to lift the 12-week ban after Uganda undertook measures like the ongoing judicial commission on inquiry in the multimillion-dollar scandal.

“We are very pleased with the pro-activity of the government and the Ministry of Finance to resolve the issues we had raised. It is a very successful outcome, demonstrating that public funds will be used for the purpose,” Bradford told a news conference.

“The 360 million US dollars for the five grants is now available for Uganda and it will fully be the responsibility of the principal recipient (Finance Ministry) and its accountability,” he said.

Bradford revealed “that the local civil society organizations fully supported the lifting of the suspension and signed the lifting papers.”

The Fund suspended all grants on 23 August following an audit report citing gross mismanagement of the funds.

AIDS sorcery disrupts the innocent culture of Papua New Guinea

November 13th, 2005

Who are the true witchdoctors at work there?

Recently our resident blonde critic appeared in the study in a tearful state, having been briefed by NPR on the efforts by peasants who grow coffee to achieve justice in the face of exploitation. Consequently, in line with her decree, we made sure to buy “Free Trade” organic coffee from Papua New Guinea next time we were in Fairway, which proved to be both morally and gustatorily satisfactory even at $10.06 a pound.

Until, that is, we came across the latest outrage to sense and sanity perpetrated by the HIV?AIDS missionaries, who have apparently taken to tormenting the natives of Papua New Guinea with the news that they are riddled with HIV or at least antibodies to it, and this signals a dark future for them unless they abandon their primitive but proven way of life and submit to the dictates of the newly arrived scientific church of AIDS.


Officially there are only about 12,000 people infected with HIV-AIDS in PNG, but AIDS workers estimate that under-reporting and reluctance to be tested mean the real number ranges from 80,000 to 120,000.

The island’s 5.4 million people, most of whom live a rural subsistence life, presently face an epidemic on a par with Cambodia, Myanmar and Thailand.

But AIDS experts say that, with an annual infection rate of 33 percent, PNG is on the verge of an African-style epidemic that could kill millions and destroy the economy.

There are only 12,000 Papuans who have tested positive so far, officially, but “AIDS workers” feel that this is an underestimate and as many as 120,000 are hidden from the census.


“This is the tip of the iceberg,” said Dr Alphonse Tay, head of Port Moresby General Hospital. “In 10 to 20 years’ time about 50 percent of the population is going to be affected by HIV.”

And by what means is this rapid spread of HIV antibody positivity among the hapless primitives of New Guinea effected? According to Reuters correspondent Michael Perry, who researched this sensational story, it is through polygamy and rape, sometimes gang rape by the police and sometimes of 13 year olds.

This is what is fueling a 33 per cent spread annually, we are told. There have been 151 rapes already this year in Port Moresby, and the local AIDS expert, a Francisan monk who spent 30 years in the jungle before opening an AIDS clinic in the town, says that even 13 year olds are endangered. He carries out “mass funerals of AIDS babies”. One wife was infected by her husband “one drunken night”. And so on, and on.


There have been 151 rapes reported in Port Moresby so far this year and a recent human rights report said a culture of police violence sees officers engaging in gang rapes and spreading HIV-AIDS by beating those who carry condoms.

Many HIV-positive husbands knowingly infect their wives by refusing to wear condoms, believing it lessens their manhood.

“Money in this country justifies anything,” said Father Jude. “If one picks up a 13-year-old for sex, it’s illegal, but if one pays compensation to the family, it’s okay.”

All this means that in ten or twenty years half the 5.4 million people of Papua New Guinea could be HIV positive, “AIDS experts” reckon, unless they clean up their act. Meanwhile the Papuans generally view AIDS as sorcery and have taken to throwing HIV positive people into rivers or graves or starving them to death, for fear of being infected themselves.

All this evidence of ignorance on the part of the Papuan natives goes along, however, with claims by the same “AIDS experts” which themselves flout some of the clearest results of papers in the HIV?AIDS mainstream literature, in particular the data that shows that the ability of men to transfer HIV in heterosexual sex is almost nil (1 in 1000 bouts, if that).

So which group is truly ignorant? Perhaps there would be more reason, justice and sanity if the natives took to flinging the AIDS experts into rivers and graves, or starved them to death, rather than their friends and relations unfortunate enough to test “HIV positive”.

In fact, we rather wish they would. Evidently our efforts to support them by drinking their coffee beans are going to naught, as the AIDS missionaries bring the instruments of their fatal sorcery into the country.

Sorcery, shame hinder PNG fight against AIDS

04 Nov 2005 01:01:00 GMT

Source: Reuters

By Michael Perry

PORT MORESBY, Nov 4 (Reuters) – Sorcery and fear of AIDS in the jungle villages of Papua New Guinea has seen infected people thrown into rivers to drown, dumped in graves to die or abandoned to starve to death, according to those fighting the disease.

To have HIV-AIDS in Papua New Guinea, a jungle-clad, mountainous South Pacific island nation, is to be an outcast in a country struggling with the modern world, where some villages only encountered Western civilisation in the 1930s.

“If they haven’t seen it before they think it must be sorcery,” said Franciscan Father Jude, who has worked in the jungles for 30 years, and runs an HIV-AIDS clinic in Port Moresby.

“They throw HIV-infected people into the river or dig a grave and put them in it and let them die, or just leave them down the backyard and refuse to feed them,” Jude told Reuters.

Officially there are only about 12,000 people infected with HIV-AIDS in PNG, but AIDS workers estimate that under-reporting and reluctance to be tested mean the real number ranges from 80,000 to 120,000.

The island’s 5.4 million people, most of whom live a rural subsistence life, presently face an epidemic on a par with Cambodia, Myanmar and Thailand.

But AIDS experts say that, with an annual infection rate of 33 percent, PNG is on the verge of an African-style epidemic that could kill millions and destroy the economy.

“This is the tip of the iceberg,” said Dr Alphonse Tay, head of Port Moresby General Hospital. “In 10 to 20 years’ time about 50 percent of the population is going to be affected by HIV.”

The disease has found fertile ground in PNG, where polygamy is common and rape and sexual violence widespread.

There have been 151 rapes reported in Port Moresby so far this year and a recent human rights report said a culture of police violence sees officers engaging in gang rapes and spreading HIV-AIDS by beating those who carry condoms.

Many HIV-positive husbands knowingly infect their wives by refusing to wear condoms, believing it lessens their manhood.

“Money in this country justifies anything,” said Father Jude. “If one picks up a 13-year-old for sex, it’s illegal, but if one pays compensation to the family, it’s okay.”

STIGMA, ABANDONMENT

Ruth Timon, 26, lies asleep on a dirty bed in the unofficial AIDS ward in Port Moresby General Hospital. She has been in the ward for two weeks and rarely does anyone come to visit. She has been disowned by her family, nurses say, left alone to die.

There is no official AIDS ward as the stigma attached to the disease would leave such a place empty, says Dr Tay, adding 10 percent of the 64 beds in Ward 4B are occupied by AIDS patients.

On the nurses’ counter nearby is a cardboard box with “Death Certificates” written in large letters — death is never far away here. There are no name cards on the beds, just a number. Each bed has a single sheet that scarcely covers the emaciated bodies.

While anti-viral medicines are free for those with HIV, patients rely on families to bring food and drink. Many come from remote villages, meaning that mothers and wives must sleep under the beds when they need a rest from nursing their sick loved ones.

“We don’t do any nursing. The families do the nursing. The nurses just give the drugs,” said ward sister Elizabeth Waken.

Waken is frustrated by a lack of staff, medicines and supplies to run her ward. There are no bedpans and the tropical heat is oppressive as most fans hang lifeless, many broken.

PNG’s health system is ailing. Hospitals routinely run out of simple medicines, and equipment is not repaired or replaced.

The 2005 health budget is 110 million kina (US$37 million), of which a mere 190,000 kina goes to fight AIDS and sexually transmitted diseases. The fight against AIDS relies on aid donors, who say they are also frustrated in delivering services.

BODIES DUMPED

At night, families ashamed of AIDS leave bodies at the Port Moresby General Hospital entrance. Some 60 to 80 bodies, not all AIDS-related, are dumped each month.

The morgue is overflowing with 116 bodies, half of which are AIDS deaths. The morgue’s cooling system is broken. Rocks keep the cool rooms closed, but bodies decompose, as staff prepare two nearby shipping containers to act as a makeshift morgue.

“A lot of bodies in the hospital morgue are HIV-AIDS but people are not coming to claim them. They are in fear of getting infected,” said Dr Tay. Each month there are mass burials.

At Nine Mile Cemetery on the outskirts of the city, plastic flowers mark row upon row of graves beneath the cracked earth. It is here that Father Jude carries out mass burials of AIDS babies.

Cemetery workers sometimes find AIDS bodies dumped overnight in freshly dug graves. “A lot of people are buried all over the place quietly,” said Father Jude as he walked through the graves.

Much of the HIV-AIDS work in PNG is done by churches, but some zealous religious groups are hindering treatment.

On the walls of the entrance to the Port Moresby General Hospital are posters proclaiming: “There’s a cure for HIV-AIDS”. The posters by the Revival Centres of PNG Fellowship show three smiling people who claim God had cured them of full-blown AIDS.

For those trying to educate people that HIV-AIDS is just another disease that can be treated, discretion is vital.

In central Port Moresby is a tin shed inside a compound, like many in the city surrounded by a high fence and razor wire.

The shed is the Salvation Army’s HIV-AIDS care centre.

There are no signs and the centre is kept secret for fear the patients inside will be ostracised and become homeless.

“The relatives don’t know they come here every week,” said Salvation Army Major Araga Rawali.

“They ask us not to come to their homes.”

People are so scared that most refuse to speak about their illness. “People watch me, it is shame (I feel),” said Anna, infected with HIV by her husband one drunken night. ($1=3.0 kina)

Scotsman defeats HIV but questions remain – BBC/News of the World

November 13th, 2005

The BBC, which has shown that no AIDS drama from Africa is too unlikely for it to report with a straight face on its nightly World News, today picks up a sensational story from the News of the World and Mail newspapers.

Apparently a Scot who tested positive for HIV antibodies a year ago has now tested negative. Calling himself the “luckiest man in the world” Andrew Stimpson is declining any more testing, presumably on the principle Quit while you’re ahead.

The story shows how few reporters or members of the public at large understand even what the HIV test is about. Evidently their understanding is that the test detects the presence or absence of HIV, the “virus that causes AIDS”, as the Times likes to assure us ad nauseam.

In fact of course the test supposedly determines whether somebody has at some time been exposed to HIV and generated antibodies to it. It supposedly detects such antibodies.

In other words, according to the standard HIV=AIDS tale, what happened to Andrew from Ayrshire, evidently a down-to-earth Scotsman from one of Scotland’s most beautiful corners, was that (if the tests are accurate, and consistent, and reveal what they are supposed to reveal, which is another highly questionable story) he was exposed to HIV, developed antibodies to HIV and then a year later, had somehow lost these defenses against HIV.

People with antibodies to HIV – ie those that test “positive” – supposedly have HIV lurking still somewhere in their systems, but effectively hiding from the antibodies, and from any lab researcher hunting for it. That is to say, the amount of HIV found in such people, even after they become fully fledged “AIDS patients” and eventually approach death as a result of a damaged immune system, is typically very low, and hard to tease out at all even with the help of PCR, which can find and multiply the equivalent of a needle lost at the bottom of New York harbor.

So Andrew is, according to the standard bible of AIDS theory, now worse off than before. In a world where HIV causes AIDS, he is now undefended against the dread virus. Unless he can make some more antibodies, HIV will have a field day when it emerges from its hiding place somewhere in his body, or when he is again exposed to it. Why is he celebrating?

Since such conundrums arise from the bare minimum of contemplation of the fatuously inconsistent story of HIV?AIDS peddled by news reports like this courtesy of the kind of “expert” news source quoted from AIDS “trusts” and “international AIDS groups”, one wonders whether the reporters and editors of the BBC have any critical faculties left in operation when they read this stuff.

Given the deluge of arrant nonsense purveyed in such stories, probably not. Even the sharpest mental blade grows dull if it has to cut through a tangle of anomalies as knotted as the daily world news on HIV?AIDS.

Meanwhile, we note that the Chelsea and Westminster Healthcare NHS Trust is anxious for Andrew to return for another test, presumably because they feel slightly vulnerable to Andrew pressing suit, and have a pretty good idea they can produce a positive test result again if he will just come back into their clutches.

Seems to us though that they are in something of a fix. If they want to question Andrew’s case, they are going to have to acknowledge that their tests might not be so accurate after all.

Caution over HIV cure claims

Home of the BBC on the Internet

Sunday, 13 November 2005, 13:56 GMT

A 25-year-old man is reported to be the first person ever to have been cleared of having the virus that causes AIDS.

Andrew Stimpson was diagnosed as HIV positive in 2002 but was found to be rid of the virus in 2003. Adam Brimelow reports.

Caution over HIV ‘cure’ claims

Doctors say they want to investigate the case of a British man with HIV who apparently became clear of the virus.

Scotsman Andrew Stimpson, 25 was diagnosed HIV-positive in 2002 but was found to be negative in October 2003.

Mr Stimpson, from London, said he was “one of the luckiest people alive”.

Chelsea and Westminster Healthcare NHS Trust confirmed the tests were accurate but were unable to confirm Mr Stimpson’s cure because he had declined to undergo further tests.

A statement from the trust said: “This is a rare and complex case. When we became aware of Mr Stimpson’s HIV negative test results we offered him further tests to help us investigate and find an explanation for the different results.

“So far Mr Stimpson has declined this offer.”

A trust spokeswoman added: “We urge him, for the sake of himself and the HIV community, to come in and get tested.

“If he doesn’t feel that he can come to Chelsea and Westminster then he should please go to another HIV specialist.”

‘Miracle’

There have been anecdotal accounts before from Africa of people shaking off the HIV virus.

Mr Stimpson, who is originally from Largs in Ayrshire, said: “There are 34.9 million people with HIV globally and I am just one person who managed to control it, to survive from it and to get rid of it from my body.

“For me that is unbelievable – it is a miracle. I think I’m one of the luckiest people alive.”

Mr Stimpson told the News of the World and Mail on Sunday that he became depressed and suicidal after being told he was HIV-positive but remained well and did not require medication.

Further tests

Some 14 months later he was offered another test by doctors, which came back negative.

He sought compensation but has apparently been told there is no case to answer because there was no fault with the testing procedure.

He has told the papers he would do anything he could to help find a cure.

Deborah Jack, chief executive of the National Aids Trust, said: “This appears to be a highly unusual case and without further tests it is impossible to draw any conclusions for people living with HIV.

“The virus is extremely complex and there are many unknowns about how it operates and how people’s bodies react to it.

“Therefore, if this case were able to shed further light, it could be extremely valuable for research into treatments or a cure.”

Vaccine clue

Aids expert Dr Patrick Dixon, from international Aids group Acet, said the case was “very, very unusual”.

“I’ve come across many anecdotal reports of this kind of thing happening in Africa, some quite recently, but it’s difficult to verify them,” he told BBC News 24.

“You have to be rock-solid sure that both samples came from the same person, no mix-up in the laboratory, no mistakes in the testing, etc.

“This is the first well-documented case.”

He said the case was important because “inside his immune system is perhaps a key that could allow us to develop some kind of vaccine”.

Onion Notes Lack of Concern over Bird Arthritis

November 13th, 2005

Though most news outlets have ignored the new isssue of bird arthritis (we admit we had never heard of it), the Onion has performed a public service in noting that officials at WHO have not yet taken this threat seriously.

Bird Arthritis Epidemic Largely Ignored

Bird Arthritis Epidemic Largely Ignored

November 9, 2005 | Issue 41•45

GENEVA—Officials from the World Health Organization remain relatively unconcerned by the rise in cases of bird arthritis, a degenerative joint disease found in birds. “We are aware of the existence of avian osteoarthritis, but have chosen to focus on more immediate threats,” WHO Director-General Lee Jong-wook said Monday, after several common teals were found doddering about a pond in southern Wales. “Most severely infected birds are too creaky and stiff to spread the disease very far.” Experts say this is the least alarming public-health risk since the 1953 breakout of swine bursitis.

Resources: key reference CD to the literature of HIV?AIDS

November 13th, 2005

A CD makes it easy to access the many scientific papers in AIDS which show the official story is invalid

A fundamental problem in the HIV?AIDS discussion is the fact that virtually no one reads the scientific literature properly except the few scientists and their supporters who object to the paradigm.

This will tell you something in itself, of course, if you are wondering whose view is correct.

One thing in the ongoing dispute is certain, as we never tire of repeating. It is the scientific literature in leading journals, thoroughly peer reviewed by scientists of equal stature and expertise before publication, that is the key credible, authoritative source which tells outsiders whether or not HIV is a valid candidate for causing immune dysfunction. At the present stage of the discussion, this literature concludes that it is not.

To repeat, the top, mostly severely peer-reviewed review literature in AIDS says and has said consistently for 18 years that HIV is not the cause of AIDS, and that all logic and all evidence is against it, and if any evidence or paper purports to support the theory, it does not bear inspection.

We are referring of course to the extensive and evidently unanswerable series of papers against the HIV=AIDS hypothesis by Peter Duesberg and others in the pages of such journals as Cancer Research, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Science, Nature, Lancet, Journal of AIDS, AIDS Forschung, Biomedicine and Pharmacotherapeutics, New England Journal of Medicine, Research in Immunology and Journal of Biosciences.

The people who argue most vociferously with this, the scientific literature’s HIV review and so far unrefuted conclusion that HIV is NOT the cause of immune dysfunction either do not read the review literature properly, or if they do read it they tend to notice only what they believe supports their own beliefs. In other words, they skim it with prejudice.

Of course that statement itself is merely an assertion, without credibility unless it is referenced. And to be honest we don’t have any reference for it. The study on how well people read any of the HIV critique remains to be done. We would bet that the result of such a study would be pretty dismal.

In our experience, it is a consistent characteristic of the scientists who run HIV?AIDS meetings, and who give talks and write papers along orthodox lines, and the editors of science journals who support them, that they generally have a great natural distaste for reading literature that disagrees with their basic assumption. Their claims to have read any of it usually prove hollow if challenged.

We do, however, have an anecdote. A couple of years ago we attended a conference at Rockefeller University held by the premier scientific society for immunology research. There we met the president of the society and asked him what he thought of Peter Duesberg, and the review literature Duesberg had published rejecting the theory of HIV causing AIDS.

This gentleman, a rather dapper little fellow in a well tailored Savile Row suit, seemed to find even the mention of Duesberg’s work laughable in the context of the meeting of his distinguished fellow immunologists, However, we detected that he did not claim to have read much of the review material himself, if any at all, and that his opinion was founded on the quicksand of hearsay, which he however seemed to view as solid enough on which to base his opinion, since it was after all his familiar colleagues who had transmitted it to him.

Therefore we were rather surprised to get an email from him after the conference asking us if we still thought there was something to Duesberg’s papers. We sent an email explaining that we did, and why, and attached a copy of Duesberg’s 2003 Journal of Bioscioences devastating megacritique of HIV?AIDS, which scotches every single aspect of the paradigm and every single Ptolemaic counter argument made to what is now a two decade long review.

Strangely enough, we got only one brief reply from our smartly tailored correspondent, saying that the paper had merely confirmed his conivtion that HIV caused AIDS and that he was in a rush to get to the airport and would reply at length later. He never did.

We found that reaction to Duesberg’s paper interesting because of what it revealed in his response. This was a fairly intelligent fellow who had evidently not given the paper any serious attention, otherwise he would have been forced to admit that it at the very least provided food for thought. The paper, as anyone can see who goes to Duesberg, P., Koehnlein, C. and Rasnick, D. (2003) The Chemical Bases of the Various AIDS Epidemics: Recreational Drugs, Anti-viral Chemotherapy and Malnutrition.

(J. Biosci. 28: 383-412) and reads it for him or herself, is simply not something that can be dismissed lightly, let alone be interpreted in any way as reinforcing belief in the paradigm. even if one reads it standing on one’s head.

The only way one can read it that way is not logical but psychological, of course. Just as the man in the Aesop fable pulls his coat ever more tightly around him when the wind blows as hard as it can to make him take it off, so the Duesberg critique acts like a chill wind to make any mainstream HIV/AIDS priest wrap the protective cloak of the paradigm around himself more tightly than ever.

It is therefore with optimism and pleasure but a certain disheartened cynicism that we pass along the signal news that Harvey Bialy, the expert scientific commentator on matters biological, ex-scientific founder of Nature Biotechnology and the author of the only scientifically fully informed biography of Duesberg and his work so far (Oncogenes, Aneuploidy and AIDS: The Scientific Life and Times of Peter Duesberg (North Atlantic Press 2004) has made available a remarkable CD.

The CD (or its downloadable version) consist of a watershed article written by Duesberg, As Bialy writes


In 1992, Duesberg published an extensive and updated review in Pharmacology & Therapeutics (55: 201-277) (http://duesberg.com/papers/ch62.html) of the state of HIV/AIDS research. The article is typical of Duesberg’s reasoning and contains the usual number of abundant citations.

Between 1994 and 1996, thanks to the generous financial support of Seth Ian Goldberg, MD, I was able to compile a CD that contains the complete text of this monograph, with hyperlinks to approximately 85% of the hundreds of references and all the references listed in the footnotes—and their live urls.

This is normally an impossibly weary slog, undertaken by no one at all ever, we suspect, with the possible exception of the peer reviewers who passed on the paper. Reading these references is absolutely essential, however, if anyone is to assess the validity of Duesberg’s case, since they are the bedrock foundation upon which it is built.

Now, however, by obtaining this CD anyone even halfway literate in science can quickly click to the original sources and see for him/herself exactly why Serge Lang and numerous other independent minded scientists and intellectually alert individuals credit what Duesberg writes despite the combined political weight of the monumental scientific church of HIV?AIDS, possibly the greatest post-Soviet force for repression of thought after the Vatican and Beijing.

To be frank we don’t think that any of them will find anything that contradicts Duesberg, who with his entire reputation on the line is without doubt the best read scientist in the field on the topic of whether HIV causes AIDS.

As Bialy writes, the purpose of the CD is to answer the empty calumny occasionally voiced by the mainstream defenders of the status quo in AIDS science, those that defend the claim that HIV causes AIDS despite the endless evisceration of the paradigm by Duesberg and other distinguished reviewers, that Duesberg et al are cheating by misquoting the scientific literature.

In other words, the long list of references to the papers of the mainstream scientific literature on HIV?AIDS, which Duesberg and his fellow critics are careful to use as the sources for the various details of the paradigm they condemn, which they attach to every review paper they write to back up their own assertions and demolition of the conventional wisdom, are somehow misinterpreted.

Of course, this is a very effective counter in most circumstances since, just like our friend the British president of the immunology society, virtually no one can muster the appetitite to comb through hundreds of papers on AIDS, let alone read them carefully. So as far as anyone listening to the debate is concerned, Duesberg et al are stymied, their arguments cast into sufficient doubt that no one need attend to them. Thank God.

This gamesmanship is typical of the tricky way in which Duesberg is dismissed in HIV?AIDS on every level, scientific and political, It is particularly revolting to anyone who loves good science, since the scientific literature is really the only way of knowing whether a claim is correctly and securely founded or not. Peer review of scientific claims is the gold standard of science, and deserves to be if it is done by honest and capable scientists who do a good job of assessing a paper without fear or favor.

Unfortunately is not always the case, of course. Scratch my back and I’ll scratch yours is all too often the underlying impulse in peer reviewing, judging from the unsettling number of poorly designed studies and experiments and speciously argued papers that almost any good scientist can point to, papers which have survived peer review by colleagues friendly to their premises or their authors or both. As we have mentioned before Nobel prize winner Walter Gilbert told us once that he never embarked on any line of experimentation based on a published experiment by someone else without redoing it himself, since all too often it just didn’t stand up.

Duesberg’s major achievement in review is not just a still unrefuted demolition of the arguments and evidence for HIV as the cause of AIDS (his major peer-reviewed review papers are effectively unanswered by any peer-reviewed response in any of the leading journals in which he has published them) but also a remarkable exposure of the fact that so many of the papers supporting it do not stand up to unfriendly analysis. The studies which purport to establish that HIV possibly causes AIDS symptoms (none of them claim the stature of proof) are riddled with errors in design and logic.

Some might feel that this kind of problem with the literature in health and medicine, especially in epidemiology, is fairly evident even to the general newspaper reading public who can see how often this week’s study is contradicted by one a year later. But this is not proof of bad science since such inconclusiveness can stem from the nature of medical research on human beings, whose biological system, diet, environment and activity involve thousands of variables and make it impossible to control for just one. Large studies over long periods are needed to tease out firm conclusions and they are expensive and difficult to arrange.

Nor are we referring to actual fraud which occasionally makes its appearance in the annals of science and is generally deplored by all. The problem we are referring to is that of studies which are poorly designed, or which are prematurely concluded, or where the logic and the science are faulty, which is apparently a problem endemic in AIDS. We say this because we have in years past been in touch with Duesberg on the topic of one study or another in journals as respected as Science and Nature, where he is supposedly proved misguided in his objections to HIV=AIDS, only to find that he can clearly show us that the study itself is egregiously misleading because of inherent problems with its design.

Nevertheless, where necessary all such criticism other people’s papers is mentioned in his HIV?AIDS review papers, and it is not the basis of his fundamental disagreement with HIV?AIDS. Duesberg’s critique and rejection of HIV as the cause of AIDS is based on the same literature as the proponents of the still unproven theory claim supports it.

Duesberg does not reject the literature of AIDS so much as accept it and prove that it fails to support the theory.

Any decent scientist or other researcher who reads his arguments will want to see for him or herself what the original papers he references actually do say, since they are the foundation of his critique, and he claims support his arguments and not the hypothesis that HIV causes AIDS.

But there has always been the barrier of the trouble it takes to get to the hundreds of papers involved. The first Proceedings paper has over 200, for example.

This is what the CD prepared and made available by Harvey Bialy solves. Here is the letter from this author:

Tools for Finding the Truth about HIV and AIDS

Of all the accusations that have been leveled against my friend, Peter Duesberg, over the many years he has been challenging conventional wisdom in cancer genetics and ‘deadly’- disease etiology, the one that is most frequently heard in scientific circles, and one that is impossible to counter except by extended debate, either at a scientific forum or in the journals (something that for some reason has never occurred) is that “Peter abuses the literature”. Either he cites so many papers that no one can read them all, or, and much worse, he misquotes and draws inferences that are not appropriate from the data in the papers he cites. The latter, as I said, has been a damning accusation, impossible to refute – until now.

In 1992, Duesberg published an extensive and updated review in Pharmacology & Therapeutics (55: 201-277) (http://duesberg.com/papers/ch62.html) of the state of HIV/AIDS research. The article is typical of Duesberg’s reasoning and contains the usual number of abundant citations.

Between 1994 and 1996, thanks to the generous financial support of Seth Ian Goldberg, MD, I was able to compile a CD that contains the complete text of this monograph, with hyperlinks to approximately 85% of the hundreds of references.

I would now like to make it widely available to all serious scientists as the ultimate tool for deciding, for themselves, the questions of what the literature actually says, and what proper inferences may be drawn from the data in the scientific papers.

Also available here is the NIH/NIAID Official website (http://bialystocker.netwp-content/uploads/science_guardian/NIHONAID.PDF) from 1995 that represents the orthodox, scientific community’s position on HIV/AIDS that is contemporaneous with the Duesberg monograph on the CD.

Whether the HIV/AIDS hypothesis rests on ever-changing quicksand or solid scientific bases is another contentious issue that has been bandied back and forth but never resolved. I think that a careful comparison between this document and the one currently available is useful in the resolution of this conundrum as well.

Harvey Bialy

bialy@ibt.unam.mx

The CD is being offered under the auspices of The Virtual Library of Biotechnology for the Americas (http://www.ibt.unam.mx/virtual.cgi). To obtain a copy click here. (http://www.deanesmay.com/posts/1128695388.shtml)

Click here (http://bialystocker.netwp-content/uploads/science_guardian/Sample.pdf) for a sample.

Of course, anyone with access to university research systems knows that a number of the data bases available – Sciencedirect and Scopus for instance – will provide live links to many or all of the references in this and other scientific papers. But typically the reference link proves to be an abstract. This invaluable resource has the full texts.

The CD or its online version will solve a major problem for those for those without such expensive access, letting them access the papers without being on line, or to find and read them rapidly on line (a url for this will go up shortly at the site for The Group for the Scientific Reappraisal of the HIV/AIDS Hypothesis, currently in beta) .


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