Science Guardian

Science Guardian incorporates New AIDS Review, Global Health Review, and Paradigm Overthrow.

Power and politics in science and health

Cool examination of hot debates

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A site defending the values of science and good scientists who dissent in the paradigm wars of HIV/AIDS, cancer, evolution, global warming, nutrition, religious belief and other disputes over new and different ideas in science, health and economics.

We aim to expose truths buried in the literature and commonly overlooked by the media, and review novel claims without the group prejudice against modern Galileos, whistleblowers, distinguished mavericks, past or future Nobelists, or any other original and independent good minds (such as the noted scientists Peter Duesberg and Kary Mullis) who may question scripture.

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"It seemed so simple when one was young and new ideas were mentioned not to grow red in the face and gobble." - Logan Pearsall Smith.

More Quotations on Science and Belief
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Researchers shoot wing off HIV drug rationale

July 30th, 2006


HIV hides in guts, immune to expensive ARVs

Years of hideous side effects for nothing?

“I thought you would be interested to read this article from The Times”, writes a thoughtful correspondent, MG, and indeed the latest effort by Sam Lister, the health correspondent of the Times of London, seems worth noting.

According to his story yesterday (Sat Jul 29) HIV hides itself in the intestines to beat drugs, ARVs (antiretrovirals) are now shown to have no effect on HIV in the guts, where the nightmare virus establishes itself securely to attack the 70% of the immune system located there.

The scientists found that the virus that causes Aids took hold in intestinal tissue of patients receiving antiretroviral therapy (ARV). There it continued to replicate and suppress the immune system even though blood samples showed that the drugs were working.

Professor Satya Dandekar, who led the study, said that, while ARV could be quite successful in reducing HIV’s presence in the blood, the virus still thrived. “The real battle between the virus and exposed individuals is happening in the gut immediately after viral infection,” she said. “We need to be focusing our efforts on improving treatment of gut mucosa, where massive destruction of immune cells is occurring.”

Professor Dandekar, head of the university’s department of medical microbiology and immunology, said that gut-associated lymphoid tissue accounted for 70 per cent of the body’s immune system, and that restoring its function was crucial to destroying the virus.

So why take ARVs at all, then, if HIV can and will easily hide out in the guts and do its dirty work on 70% of the body’s immune system cells there?

That’s too simple, according to the study authors at Davis, whose research is supported by the NIH. They do not come to this obvious conclusion. On the contrary, their prescription is to start treatment earlier.

Thomas Prindiville, the study’s co-author, said that starting treatment earlier significantly improved the chances of restoring immune function.

“If we are able to restore the gut’s immune response, the patient will be more likely to clear the virus,” Professor Prindiville said. “You can’t treat any infectious disease without the help of the immune system.”

How early is early? Judging from the monkey studies a year ago April that first suggested this line of thinking, because they found that simian immunodeficiency virus decimated immune cells in the guts of monkeys within days, early means patients should receive ARVs within a few days.

Those who keep up with the newsflow of this paradigm will recognize this as a contribution to the current campaign to expand testing to the entire population of the United States as soon as possible.

In fact, it takes us one step closer to justifying prophylactic medication for everyone “at risk” in the US. Except for one thing - the mysterious fact that this wholesale destruction within days of the 70% of our CD4 cells in our gut doesn’t seem to have any long term effect. Everything soon goes back to normal for as long as twenty or thirty years - however long the “latent” period is.

Granted that the report may be garbled but the item seems to show that there is no limit to how new findings can be twisted to serve the cause of what is no longer a scientifically based enterprise in any meaningful way.

The Times July 29, 2006

HIV hides itself in the intestines to beat drugs

By Sam Lister, Health Correspondent

HIV can avoid the powerful drugs that sufferers take to destroy it by hiding in their guts, scientists have discovered.

The scientists found that the virus that causes Aids took hold in intestinal tissue of patients receiving antiretroviral therapy (ARV). There it continued to replicate and suppress the immune system even though blood samples showed that the drugs were working.

The scientists from California University said that results of their three-year study, published in the Journal of Virology, showed HIV treatments needed re-evaluation.

Professor Satya Dandekar, who led the study, said that, while ARV could be quite successful in reducing HIV’s presence in the blood, the virus still thrived. “The real battle between the virus and exposed individuals is happening in the gut immediately after viral infection,” she said. “We need to be focusing our efforts on improving treatment of gut mucosa, where massive destruction of immune cells is occurring.”

Professor Dandekar, head of the university’s department of medical microbiology and immunology, said that gut-associated lymphoid tissue accounted for 70 per cent of the body’s immune system, and that restoring its function was crucial to destroying the virus.

The study suggests that earlier ARV and the use of anti-inflammatory drugs could achieve this. It also urges gut biopsies on all patients receiving ARV as a way of monitoring their condition.

“We found a substantial delay in the time that it takes to restore the gut mucosal immune system in those with chronic infections,” Professor Dandekar said. “In these patients the gut acted as a viral reservoir that keeps us from ridding patients of the virus.”

Doctors have long relied on measuring HIV’s presence in the blood and T-cell counts. T-cells, also called T-helper cells, organise the immune system’s fight against viruses. However, their numbers are reduced when HIV enters the body, leaving carriers vulnerable to infection.

Earlier research by Professor Dandekar and her team supports the claim that patients with high numbers of T-cells in their gut tissue were likely to live longer.

Thomas Prindiville, the study’s co-author, said that starting treatment earlier significantly improved the chances of restoring immune function.

“If we are able to restore the gut’s immune response, the patient will be more likely to clear the virus,” Professor Prindiville said. “You can’t treat any infectious disease without the help of the immune system.”

The scientists followed ten patients receiving highly active antiretroviral therapy, known as HAART. Three of the patients were treated within six weeks of finding out they were HIV positive.

Here’s a more informed report from RxPG News:

RxPG News

Jul 30th, 2006 - 02:34:25

HIV hides from drugs in gut, preventing immune recovery

Jul 30, 2006, 02:32, Reviewed by: Dr. Priya Saxena

“This is the first longitudinal study to show that, while current HIV therapy is quite successful in reducing viral loads and increasing T-cells in peripheral blood, it is not so effective in gut mucosa”

By University of California, Davis, UC Davis researchers have discovered that the human immunodeficiency virus, the virus that causes AIDS, is able to survive efforts to destroy it by hiding out in the mucosal tissues of the intestine. They also found that HIV continues to replicate in the gut mucosa, suppressing immune function in patients being treated with antiretroviral therapy–even when blood samples from the same individuals indicated the treatment was working.

“This is the first longitudinal study to show that, while current HIV therapy is quite successful in reducing viral loads and increasing T-cells in peripheral blood, it is not so effective in gut mucosa,” said Satya Dandekar, professor and chair of the Department of Medical Microbiology and Immunology at UC Davis Health System and senior author of the study.

“The real battle between the virus and exposed individuals is happening in the gut immediately after viral infection,” she said. “We need to be focusing our efforts on improving treatment of gut mucosa, where massive destruction of immune cells is occurring. Gut-associated lymphoid tissue accounts for 70 percent of the body’s immune system. Restoring its function is crucial to ridding the body of the virus.”

Results of the study suggest that patients being treated with antiretroviral therapy should be monitored using gut biopsies and that the gut’s immune function be restored through earlier antiretroviral treatment and the use of anti-inflammatory medications.

“We found a substantial delay in the time that it takes to restore the gut mucosal immune system in those with chronic infections,” Dandekar said. “In these patients the gut is acting as a viral reservoir that keeps us from ridding patients of the virus.”

Physicians treating HIV-infected patients have long relied on blood measurements of viral load and T-cell counts when choosing a course of treatment. Viral load is the number of viral particles in a milliliter sample of blood. T-cell counts reflect the number of CD4+ T-cells in the sample. These cells, also called T-helper cells, organize the immune system’s attack on disease-causing invaders. They are, however, the targets of the virus and their numbers decrease as the amount of HIV increases, leaving the body vulnerable to a variety of infections.

Last year, Dandekar’s team published a study of HIV-infected patients who, despite the lack of treatment, had survived over 10 years with healthy levels of T-cells and suppressed viral loads.

“We looked at their gut lymphoid tissue and did not see loss of T-cells there. This correlated with better clinical outcomes,” Dandekar explained.

Those results prompted Dandekar and her team to undertake the current study in which they set out to evaluate the effect of highly active antiretroviral therapy, known as HAART, on viral suppression and immune restoration in gut-associated lymphoid tissue. They followed 10 patients being treated with HAART, taking blood and gut samples before and after three years of treatment. Three of the patients were treated during four to six weeks of first being infected with the virus. The other participants were known to be HIV positive for more than one year.

Hoping to figure out why HAART does not work as well in the gut, Dandekar and her colleagues further examined the post-treatment of gut-associated lymphoid tissue samples. They found evidence of inflammation, which disrupts tissue function, promotes cell death and upsets the normal balance of gut flora. They also found that the activity of genes that control and promote mucosal repair and regeneration were suppressed, while the genes responsible for the inflammatory response were more active than in normal tissue.

Dandekar said these results suggest anti-inflammatory drugs may improve antiretroviral treatment outcomes. She also pointed out that genes involved with the repair and regeneration of gut-associated lymphoid tissue would make excellent drug targets.

Researchers then compared HAART outcomes in those who chose to be treated within the weeks of exposure to those with chronic infection. They discovered that newly infected patients had fewer signs of inflammation at the beginning of the study and experienced greater recovery of the gut mucosal immune system function by the end of it.

Dandekar and her colleagues are currently following additional patients being treated with HAART. Unpublished data on these patients supports the current findings, said Thomas Prindiville, a gastroenterology professor at UC Davis and a co-author of the study.

“What we continue to see is that restoration of immune function is more likely when treatment is started early,” said Prindiville. “Starting HAART before T-cell counts fall below 350 cells per cubic milliliter, would preserve immune function and hasten its full recovery.”

The team of physicians and researchers plan to keep testing ways of improving the efficacy of antiretroviral therapy in gut-associated lymphoid tissue. These include treating gut inflammation, starting treatment earlier and using gut biopsies to monitor treatment success.

“If we are able to restore the gut’s immune response, the patient will be more likely to clear the virus,” Prindiville said. “You can’t treat any infectious disease without the help of the immune system.”

- Results of the three-year study appear in the August issue of the Journal of Virology

jvi.asm.org

Global warming: does industry funding make scientist a liar?

July 29th, 2006


Utilities pony up for Michaels, who resists consensus

Which paradigm is most distorted by money?

Tucked away on page 26 of the Times today, this AP report: Utilities Pay Scientist Ally On Warming. It raises the age old question, can scientist accept funding from industry without being compromised, at least in reputation, and is that stain justified?

On reputation the answer seems to be, no. As soon as the Times carries the story, the typical reader will reject him as one of the bad guys. Whether this is justified or not, however, is not so easy to decide.

In a nutshell: Virginia’s state climatologist, Patrick J. Michaels, is a fellow of the Cato Institute and a professor of environmental sciences at the University of Virginia. He doesn’t agree with the consensus on global warming and has a staff who analyse other scientists’ global warming research. After he complained in public to “Western business leaders” about running out of money, a utility company passed the hat and raised $250,000 so far in pledges and contributions.

WASHINGTON, July 27 — Coal-burning utilities are contributing money to one of the few remaining climate scientists openly critical of the broad consensus that fossil fuel emissions are intensifying global warming….

The critic, Patrick J. Michaels, is a professor of environmental sciences at the University of Virginia, a senior fellow at the libertarian Cato Institute and Virginia’s state climatologist.

Dr. Michaels told Western business leaders last year that he was running out of money for his analyses of other scientists’ global warming research. So a Colorado utility organized a collection campaign for him last week and has raised at least $150,000 in donations and pledges….

This is a classic case of industry buying science to back up its anti-environmental agenda,” said Frank O’Donnell, president of the Washington advocacy group Clean Air Watch.

Others, however, view it as the type of lobbying that goes along with many divisive issues. One environmental scientist, Donald Kennedy, former president of Stanford University and current editor in chief of the journal Science, said skeptics like Dr. Michaels were lobbyists more than researchers.

“I don’t think it’s unethical any more than most lobbying is unethical,” Dr. Kennedy said….

Dr. Michaels said the money would help pay his staff.

“Last I heard, anybody can ask a scientific question,” he said.

Come on Dr Michaels, don’t be ingenuous, this is news precisely because of the suspicion that he who pays the piper calls the tune. This is “industry buying science”, says the advocacy group president. But is it? Let’s try defending him.

Seven reasons to take industry money

First, since Michaels formed his views by himself, as far as we know, and has already made them clear all over the place, the money is not going to change them, is it? As well as journal articles, he has written columns and a book on the topic, “Meltdown: The Predictable Distortion of Global Warming by Scientists, Politicians and the Media.”

Secondly, why shouldn’t he accept money from people who like his research because of conclusions he has already come to? He needs money to do work, just like everyone else. Someone has to pay fo his research staff. Who else is going to give him money? Should he apply only to private foundations which don’t have a position on the issue? If so, where are they, and even if he can find them, why should they care to give him money unless he fits their agenda in some way?

Third, OK, maybe there are foundations who support good science, period, and don’t care how it comes out. They must want to support scientists who just want to analyze the issue objectively, independently of politics.

But is there any example of this you know of? The only one we know of is Robert Leppo, the one man among six million millionaires who stepped forward to fund Peter Duesberg in combating the HIV/AIDS paradigm and continuing his vital cancer research. He doesn’t care in the end whether Duesberg is right on the science of HIV?AIDS, though he trusts him as a fine scientist to get it right, he is simply concerned as a libertarian with Duesberg’s ability to do excellent research without being ostracized and unfunded by the tyrannical and vengeful censorship imposed on HIV?AIDS paradigm reviewers.

Sure, all patrons everywhere will receive special consideration from their beneficiaries. Even Duesberg’s actions and ideas are going to be circumscribed in some way in his dealings with Leppo. He probably won’t get into a heated argument with him over politics, for example. But will he change his scientific ideas? Assuredly not, since he will not be asked to by a patron who has no investment in the issue except the freedom of science.

Fourthly, of course, Michaels sounds ingenuous when he says ““Last I heard, anybody can ask a scientific question.” The problem he has to deal with is that we all think that his objectivity will be influenced by his gratitude towards utility company executives. If he changes his conclusion too radically, after all, their support will evaporate. But what he is saying here out loud is that he doesn’t expect it will be influenced. He doesn’t view the utilities as his puppetmasters. He rejects the suspicions of those who do not trust him to make up his mind on the basis of good research with an independent mind. Is there any proof that he is lying?

Fifthly, reason also indicates he might even actively resist bias and therefore acquire a little bias in the other direction, pushed also by the embarrassing attacks of global warming activists and the Times coverage.

Sixth, if he does change his position radically after receiving the funds, he will then be admired by others for his integrity, and he can hope to find support from them. So receiving the funds does not prevent him from changing his conclusions, at least after a decent interval, to avoid giving the impression that he took money under false pretenses.

Seventh, he has already shown integrity by taking a stand against the consensus, placing him in an embarrassing minority position, not to mention making him a suspect as an industry tool.

Anti-consensus doesn’t mean bad guy, either

All these factors seem to argue that Michaels shouldn’t be automatically condemned for his industry support. On the other hand, people being what they are…somehow we know that the money is tainted… don’t we?

We admit we can’t really make up our mind where it all comes out, and we empathize with the editor in chief of Science, Donald Kennedy, who calls Michaels both a bad guy and a good guy - a “lobbyist more than a researcher”, yet adds that “lobbying is not unethical”. Huh? Doesn’t combining both roles compromise the research more than the acceptance of industry money?

Perhaps not if Michaels genuinely feels strongly about conclusions he has come to independently. Why shouldn’t he lobby for his own views? He has reason to be proud of them if he argues against a huge consensus, and is not stupid, because he thereby proves he is a courageous and principled man, a man of integrity. Unless and until he is rewarded for it with sizeable industry money, that is. Then we have to wonder if that was the motivation all along.

Trouble is that outsiders cannot judge

In the end, perhaps as scientists who look for evidence we should reject all such suspicions as irrelevant and unprovable speculation that intelligent people should ignore. Perhaps Michaels’ views should stand or fall according to whether it is supported by the data he points to.

That would get rid of all the emotional and political smog that obscures the view.

But most people are not able to assess the vast scientific data themselves, so they have to rely on reputation and credentials, and for other scientists to assess the issue independently, and not be biased against Michaels just because he is against a vast consensus.

For consensus is not a guarantee of truth in science. By definition, each time a paradigm is replaced consensus is proved wrong. Science is not a democracy and its truths are not decided by vote.

It would much easier if all scientists were very intelligent and unbiased and had the time to give complex issues their due, but Alas this is not the case, as HIV?AIDS has shown.

This is why the unanswered questions in HIV?AIDS must be debated and solved instead of censored. It has the most important lesson of all to teach us, which is that modern science with all its panoply of technology and expertise can still make grand mistakes which send the consensus in the wrong direction.

When political intervention sends consensus down the wrong path, HIV?AIDS shows, and censorship prevents review of the situation, consensus consolidates and the lesser minds in the field join the compromised leaders in defending the paradigm from criticism.

What is overlooked is that overturning consensus is the normal process of progress in science.

Money is the root of bad science

Simply put, the tyranny of power politics can kill good science and promote bad as rapidly as it can kill democracy. Big money is the death of science, because big money is power. Since apparently the worst case of this to date is HIV?AIDS, this is why it will be good for all of science to break the NIAID censorship and expose the paradigm to public review

That is why Dr Michaels should get his funding from some other source, and why society should help him do so, even though the consensus says he is wrong.

The New York Times

Printer Friendly Format Sponsored By

July 28, 2006

Utilities Pay Scientist Ally on Warming

By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS

WASHINGTON, July 27 — Coal-burning utilities are contributing money to one of the few remaining climate scientists openly critical of the broad consensus that fossil fuel emissions are intensifying global warming.

The critic, Patrick J. Michaels, is a professor of environmental sciences at the University of Virginia, a senior fellow at the libertarian Cato Institute and Virginia’s state climatologist.

Dr. Michaels told Western business leaders last year that he was running out of money for his analyses of other scientists’ global warming research. So a Colorado utility organized a collection campaign for him last week and has raised at least $150,000 in donations and pledges.

The utility, the Intermountain Rural Electric Association, based in Sedalia, Colo., has given Dr. Michaels $100,000 of its own, said Stanley R. Lewandowski Jr., its general manager. Mr. Lewandowski said that one company planned to give $50,000 and that a third planned to contribute to Dr. Michaels next year.

“We cannot allow the discussion to be monopolized by the alarmists,” Mr. Lewandowski wrote in a July 17 letter to 50 other utilities. He also called on other electric cooperatives to undertake a counterattack on “alarmist” scientists and specifically Al Gore’s movie “An Inconvenient Truth,” which lays much of the blame for global warming on heat-trapping gases like carbon dioxide.

Mr. Lewandowski and Dr. Michaels, who holds a Ph.D. in ecological climatology from the University of Wisconsin, have openly acknowledged the donations and say they see no problem. But some environmental advocates say the effort clearly poses a conflict of interest.

“This is a classic case of industry buying science to back up its anti-environmental agenda,” said Frank O’Donnell, president of the Washington advocacy group Clean Air Watch.

Others, however, view it as the type of lobbying that goes along with many divisive issues. One environmental scientist, Donald Kennedy, former president of Stanford University and current editor in chief of the journal Science, said skeptics like Dr. Michaels were lobbyists more than researchers.

“I don’t think it’s unethical any more than most lobbying is unethical,” Dr. Kennedy said.

Dr. Michaels is best known for his newspaper opinion columns and books, including “Meltdown: The Predictable Distortion of Global Warming by Scientists, Politicians and the Media.” He also writes research articles published in scientific journals.

He has been quoted by major newspapers more than 150 times in the last two years, according to a LexisNexis database search. He and Mr. Lewandowski say that their side of global warming is not being heard and that the donations resulted from a speech Dr. Michaels gave to the Western Business Roundtable last fall.

Dr. Michaels said the money would help pay his staff.

“Last I heard, anybody can ask a scientific question,” he said.

Is there a scientific consensus on global warming?

What we need is a disinterested observer. Here we are, an article written today by a history of science professor who did the study on the topic, called Naomi Oreskes:
PERSPECTIVE”>Global warming: Signed, sealed and delivered

By Naomi Oreskes

Yes, she says. There is a consensus. She did the study, and contrary to an article in the Wall Street Journal by Richard Lindzen recently, it has not been refuted. And a history of science professor must be disinterested, surely, unless she is pally with everybody in the field, which come to think of it, is likely:

To be sure, there are a handful of scientists, including Massachusetts Institute of Technology professor Richard Lindzen, the author of the Wall Street Journal editorial, who disagree with the rest of the scientific community. To a historian of science like me, this is not surprising. In any scientific community, there are always some individuals who simply refuse to accept new ideas and evidence.

Those few who refuse to accept it are not ignorant, but they are stubborn. They are not unintelligent, but they are stuck on details that cloud the larger issue. Scientific communities include tortoises and hares, mavericks and mules.

Global warming: Signed, sealed and delivered

By NAOMI ORESKES

07/30/2006

An op-ed article in The Wall Street Journal a month ago claimed that a published study affirming the existence of a scientific consensus on the reality of global warming had been refuted. This charge was repeated again in a hearing of the House Committee on Energy and Commerce.

I am the author of that study, which appeared two years ago in the journal Science, and I’m here to tell you that the consensus stands. The argument put forward in the Wall Street Journal was based on an Internet posting; it has not appeared in a peer-reviewed journal — the normal way to challenge an academic finding. (The Wall Street Journal didn’t even get my name right!)

My study demonstrated that there is no significant disagreement within the scientific community that the Earth is warming and that human activities are the principal cause.

Papers that continue to rehash arguments that have already been addressed and questions that have already been answered will, of course, be rejected by scientific journals, and this explains my findings. Not a single paper in a large sample of peer-reviewed scientific journals between 1993 and 2003 refuted the consensus position, summarized by the National Academy of Sciences, that “most of the observed warming of the last 50 years is likely to have been due to the increase in greenhouse gas concentrations.”

Since the 1950s, scientists have understood that greenhouse gases produced by burning fossil fuels could have serious effects on Earth’s climate. When the 1980s proved to be the hottest decade on record, and as predictions of climate models started to come true, scientists increasingly saw global warming as cause for concern.

International evaluation

In 1988, the World Meteorological Association and the United Nations Environment Program joined forces to create the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change to evaluate the state of climate science as a basis for informed policy action. The panel has issued three assessments (1990, 1995, 2001), representing the combined expertise of 2,000 scientists from more than 100 countries, and a fourth report is due out shortly.

Its conclusions — global warming is occurring, humans have a major role in it — have been ratified by scientists around the world in published scientific papers, in statements issued by professional scientific societies and in reports of the National Academy of Sciences, the British Royal Society and many other national and royal academies of science worldwide. Even the Bush administration accepts the fundamental findings. As President Bush’s science adviser, John Marburger III, said last year in a speech: “The climate is changing; the Earth is warming.”

To be sure, there are a handful of scientists, including Massachusetts Institute of Technology professor Richard Lindzen, the author of the Wall Street Journal editorial, who disagree with the rest of the scientific community. To a historian of science like me, this is not surprising. In any scientific community, there are always some individuals who simply refuse to accept new ideas and evidence. This is especially true when the new evidence strikes at their core beliefs and values.

Earth scientists long believed that humans were insignificant in comparison with the vastness of geological time and the power of geophysical forces. For this reason, many were reluctant to accept that humans had become a force of nature, and it took decades for the present understanding to be achieved.

Those few who refuse to accept it are not ignorant, but they are stubborn. They are not unintelligent, but they are stuck on details that cloud the larger issue. Scientific communities include tortoises and hares, mavericks and mules.

A historical example will help to make the point. In the 1920s, the distinguished Cambridge geophysicist Harold Jeffreys rejected the idea of continental drift on the grounds of physical impossibility. In the 1950s, geologists and geophysicists began to accumulate overwhelming evidence of the reality of continental motion, even though the physics of it was poorly understood. By the late 1960s, the theory of plate tectonics was on the road to near-universal acceptance.

Yet Jeffreys, by then Sir Harold, stubbornly refused to accept the new evidence, repeating his old arguments about the impossibility of the thing. He was a great man, but he had become a scientific mule.

For a while, journals continued to publish Jeffreys’ arguments, but after a while he had nothing new to say. He died denying plate tectonics. The scientific debate was over

So it is with climate change today. As American geologist Harry Hess said in the 1960s about plate tectonics, one can quibble about the details, but the overall picture is clear.

Yet some climate-change deniers insist that the observed changes might be natural, perhaps caused by variations in solar irradiance or other forces we don’t yet understand. Perhaps there are other explanations for the receding glaciers. But “perhaps” is not evidence.

The greatest scientist of all time, Isaac Newton, warned against this tendency more than three centuries ago. Writing in “Principia Mathematica” in 1687, he noted that once scientists had successfully drawn conclusions by “general induction from phenomena,” then those conclusions had to be held as “accurately or very nearly true notwithstanding any contrary hypothesis that may be imagined.”

Climate-change deniers can imagine all the hypotheses they like, but it will not change the facts nor “the general induction from the phenomena.”

None of this is to say that there are no uncertainties left — there are always uncertainties in any live science. Agreeing about the reality and causes of current global warming is not the same as agreeing about what will happen in the future. There is continuing debate in the scientific community over the likely rate of future change: not “whether” but “how much” and “how soon.” And this is precisely why we need to act today: because the longer we wait, the worse the problem will become, and the harder it will be to solve.

Naomi Oreskes is a history of science professor at the University of California, San Diego.

(updated 10/3/2005)

Of course, one cannot help wondering if Naomi is competent to assess whether the consensus is right or not, which is another question. Still, that wasn’t her purpose.

But why do we imagine that she probably categorizes Duesberg as a mule, if she has heard of him at all?

Perhaps she would pause if she learned that Duesberg did not take money from industry.

Anti HIV campaigners winning on all fronts

July 25th, 2006


Gallo corrected, Bialy triumphant on Amazon and fearless blog matador skewers sacred bull at Barnesworld

Lynn Margulis endorses Bialy and doubts

Padian is the sword in the heart

Questioners of HIV∫AIDS are currently winning the paradigm war, it seems, with advances on several new fronts. The Harpers article in March, like a beachhead in Normandy landing an army, has proved armor plated in the fact of false critique and calumny. It has now been followed up by successes on two fronts on the Web.

The Correcting Gallo “56 errors refuted” issued by Rethinking AIDS two weeks ago examined at length and rejected all the 56 objections of Robert Gallo and a group of pro-paradigm activists. Every single claim was faulty, it turned out, when compared with the scientific literature, which apparently is not bedtime reading for Gallo any more, since he doesn’t yet seem to understand that direct T cell killing by HIV has been ruled out.

Now Harvey Bialy has routed John Moore on Amazon, with Moore forced by Amazon to replace his childishly dismissive review of Bialy’s exemplary book, “Aneuploidy, Oncogenes and AIDS: A Scientific Life and Times of Peter H. Duesberg”, with a rewrite (it was against the rules to include the referral to his misleading AIDSTruth.org site), and now a new champion in the form of Lynn Margulis, member of the National Academy and alert to the unjust trashing of Duesberg for some years now. Margulis’s review is worth quoting in full:

Bialy’s message in his hotly contested book Oncogenes, aneuploidy, and AIDS. A scientific life & times of Peter H. Duesberg is of crucial importance to everyone with an interest in the science that should underlie the practice of medicine. “Oncogenes” are defined as “cancer-causing genes”, “aneuploidy” refers to any anomalous number and arrangement of chromosomes in a nucleated (plant, animal, protist or fungal) cell. AIDS (acquired immune deficiency syndrome) refers to an illness, a constellation of opportunistic infections and pathologies in a patient with diminished capacity for production of the repertoire of antibodies typical of healthy people. In 1984 a virus now named the Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) was announced to be the cause of AIDS. Duesberg disagrees. Duesberg’s accessible, comprehensive and scientific book, Inventing the AIDS Virus that explains why is more an epiphenomenon of the controversy than its cause. Bialy defends Peter Duesberg.

Duesberg’s real sin, as Bialy reports, was his review paper in the most prestigious scientific journal in the United States, the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science (PNAS) that questioned the data and interpretations claimed to prove that. Duesberg found a troubling lack of evidence and a number of glaring anomalies in the body of literature.

Duesberg’s paper caused such an uproar in the medical research community that it led to rewriting of the rules for submission by members of their own scientific articles for the PNAS. His questions are still valid. Lives are at stake. We find the paucity of evidence published in standard peer-reviewed primary scientific journals that leads to the conclusion that “HIV causes AIDS” appalling. No amount of moralizing censorship, rhetorical tricks, consensus of opinion, pulling rank, obfuscation, ad hominem attacks or blustering newspaper editorials changes this fact. The conflation “HIV-AIDS” may be good marketing but is it science? No. Yet certainly the political and economic implications of the term “HIV-AIDS” are staggering. (See Harper’s March 2006 article “Out of Control” by Celia Farber).

Peter Duesberg continues his splendid 35-year research career at the University of California at Berkeley where, since 1986 he has been a member of the National Academy of Sciences and hence, eligible to publish any of his own scientific work. Although his government research funds (like ours, on a far smaller scale) were cut from $350,000 per year to zero, he continues investigations into the cause of cancer with work on aneuploidy.

Harvey Bialy’s book may be hard at times for readers with little or no background in this arcane science, but its riveting narrative documents the troubling censorship and punishment of a tenacious scientist seeking answers. Unjustifiably labelled “denialists”,”homophobes”, “charlatans”, or “Nazis”, Bialy and Duesberg are foremost excellent scientists who follow David Bohm’s adage “Science is the search for truth, whether we like it or not”. It strains credulity to ascribe any other motivation to their stance.

Here one has to feel sorry for Moore and friends, for such an indictment of their own attitudes from such a sterling source has to be a source of lasting embarrassment socially for these defenders of their beneficent faith.

Just for good measure, it is backed up by Rebecca Culshaw, the mathematician who finally threw up her hands at the task of making sense of modeling HIV∫AIDS’s supposed biology and publicly announced her refusal to engage any more in this nonsense on Lew Rockwell’s site recently (see Why I Quit HIV and Why I quit HIV - The Aftermath; also Math Professor: Why “HIV/AIDS” Doesn’t Add Up):

Although some of the book’s devastating - and fascinating - moments do indeed come when Bialy is exposing some of the more distasteful tactics behind what is surely the most politicized medical issue in history, by focusing on AIDS, many reviews will likely draw attention to a book that is equally important for what it reveals regarding the politics, and the science, of cancer research.

Beginning with Peter Duesberg’s unwelcome criticisms of the single gene mutation theory of carcinogenesis and leaving the reader with an introduction to the current theory of aneuploidy on which Duesberg now focuses his attention, Bialy weaves a tale of the man and his mission, which is simply to find out truth. Would that so many scientists have similar motives.

Amusingly, the Moore brigade has responded to this magisterial judgement with a frankly dimwitted review so obviously dripping with ill motivated prejudice that it serves as Exhibit A for the prosecution:

3 of 22 people found the following review helpful

Mr. Bialy’s opus. Science fiction at its worst., July 19, 2006

Reviewer: Manny Kimmel (Ohio) - See all my reviews

Mr. Bialy’s journeyman’s prose never fails to bore. He creates a parallel universe in which the modern-day plague of AIDS is a fiction created by greedy and ambitious scientists, politicians, activists, Pharma executivies, and other assorted henchmen.

Against this backdrop of evil, we are given a Christ figure, played by a scientist at a California university who would save the world from the great lie that is AIDS. Oddly, Mr. Bialy’s descriptions of our hero smacks of a schoolgirl crush. Would that we had learned whether this curious realtionship was ever consummated.

Mr. Bialy takes a halfway good science fiction story idea (what if HIV were harmless??) and beats it to death with excrutiating, ham-handed detail.

Life is too short for this kind of drivel. Shame on me for wasting several hours of my life on this nonsense. Shame on YOU if you repeat my mistake.

Ahem.. “Would that we had learned whether this curious realtionship was ever consummated”? Doesn’t the homophobe detector swing wildly at that remark? Bialy is famously passionate for exotic women, Mr “Kimmel”, and married his current wife under romantic circumstances in Cuba, as you would know if you were familiar with the actors in this affair. No doubt we will find out eventually if this is a penname for Moore or some lab intern trying to curry favor, but this illiterate sally is precisely what the author of the book in question delights in, for it tends to more persuasively recommend the book as important and interesting than any direct praise can by itself. Indeed, when last heard from Bialy was in seventh heaven at the rate copies were disappearing from the warehouse.

Meanwhile, today we have yet another positive review from a respected source, Gerald H. Pollack, professor in the department of bioengineering, University of Washington, Seattle:

1 of 2 people found the following review helpful:

Stimulating and Thought Provoking, July 25, 2006

Reviewer: Gerald H. Pollack - See all my reviews

(REAL NAME)

I was impressed. I invite you to read this fascinating book and decide for yourself whether Duesberg has a point or two. I took time from a busy schedule to see quickly how the saga would end, and came away enlightened by a rich body of information about issues of profound significance that cry out for resolution. The message is quite serious, but the presentation is buoyed by abundant humor and wit - a pleasure to read. This is one of those books that will inspire unending conversations with friends and colleagues. Rarely have I been as moved by a book as by this very scientific biography.”

Honestly, could one ask for a simpler, more truthful sounding recommendation? Exhibit B, Dr. Moore! Readers can compare all these with HIV researcher Moore’s newly rewritten diatribe for sense, evidence of having read and digested the book, underlying motivation and other aspects:

1 of 14 people found the following review helpful:

Missing the point on Duesberg, June 25, 2006

Reviewer: John P Moore, PhD (New York, USA) - See all my reviews

The author completely misses the point when writing about Peter Duesberg. His book comes across as a hagiography, not as an objective review of Duesberg’s flawed and ultimately failed scientific career. A more considered approach to the subject would have discussed why it was that Duesberg adopted foolishly contrarian and scientifically inaccurate positions on oncogenes and, a few years later, on HIV and AIDS. Were Duesberg’s thought-processes at this critical time in his career purely science-based? Or were they, as many of his scientific contemporaries believe, driven by his jealousy over the far greater career successes of his then-rivals in cancer virology (Bishop, Varmus, Gallo, Baltimore, for example)? An objective reviewer of Duesberg’s career would have explored such a critical issue. A detailed exploration of whether personal jealousies drove Duesberg’s public posturings should have been a critical component of the story; the book is the worse for such an important omission.

There is another glaring flaw in the book: Duesberg’s perceived (but, nowadays, not real) stature as a professional scientist underpins the activities of a small group of individuals who, bizarrely, deny that HIV causes AIDS (it is, of course, almost universally understood both within the scientific community and by the general public that HIV infection is the cause of AIDS). Like Duesberg, a few of the AIDS denialists are scientists whose careers fizzled out; but others are zealots with extreme political views (both on the far-right and the far-left) who find AIDS denialism politically convenient; and some are deeply troubled individuals with disturbing behavior patterns who deserve pity and professional help. Again, an objective book on this general subject area would explore the role played by Duesberg as the figurehead of the AIDS denialism movement. Why have such an eclectic gallimaufrey of people rallied to Duesberg’s banner? The present author utterly fails to tackle this component of the Duesberg story. As a result, his book is simply not worth reading. The definitive book on Duesberg remains to be written, although he’s probably not an interesting enough subject for a professional biographer to tackle.

John P. Moore

Professor of Microbiology and Immunology,

Weill Medical College of Cornell University, New York

Only a man who has never met Duesberg could publicly suggest that “personal jealousies drove Duesberg’s public posturings”, or state “Duesberg’s perceived (but, nowadays, not real) stature as a professional scientist”. Only a man whose position in science leaves him clambering about in shoes two sizes two big for him, a man who is personally familiar with the motivations he suggests, a man who has not read Bialy’s book without prejudice and all the way through, could possibly write such calumny without embarrassment. Pity John Moore, who will have to face all his life the responsibility of having written such self revealing text, as the paradigm is eventually recognized for what it is.

Here are the full Margulis and Culshaw reviews, if you don’t want to click to the complete list at Amazon:

18 of 20 people found the following review helpful:

Riveting narrative documents the troubling censorship and punishment of a tenacious scientist seeking answers, July 17, 2006

Reviewer: James MacAllister “Lynn Margulis and James MacAllister” (Univerity of Massachusetts Amherst) - See all my reviews

(REAL NAME)

The embroilment of Harvey Bialy and Peter Duesberg in controversy came to our attention when we read George Miklos’ glowing review of Bialy’s book. Mentally meticulous Miklos, a colleague and a hard-nosed critic (even of our own scientific work) is a focused, profoundly educated cell biologist. We read Bialy with scepticism but with the open-mindedness mandated by the severity of criticism both Bialy’s book and Miklos’ review provoked. Demand for evidence and criticism are intrinsic to the scientific enterprise.

Bialy’s message in his hotly contested book Oncogenes, aneuploidy, and AIDS. A scientific life & times of Peter H. Duesberg is of crucial importance to everyone with an interest in the science that should underlie the practice of medicine. “Oncogenes” are defined as “cancer-causing genes”, “aneuploidy” refers to any anomalous number and arrangement of chromosomes in a nucleated (plant, animal, protist or fungal) cell. AIDS (acquired immune deficiency syndrome) refers to an illness, a constellation of opportunistic infections and pathologies in a patient with diminished capacity for production of the repertoire of antibodies typical of healthy people. In 1984 a virus now named the Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) was announced to be the cause of AIDS. Duesberg disagrees. Duesberg’s accessible, comprehensive and scientific book, Inventing the AIDS Virus that explains why is more an epiphenomenon of the controversy than its cause. Bialy defends Peter Duesberg.

Duesberg’s real sin, as Bialy reports, was his review paper in the most prestigious scientific journal in the United States, the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science (PNAS) that questioned the data and interpretations claimed to prove that. Duesberg found a troubling lack of evidence and a number of glaring anomalies in the body of literature.

Duesberg’s paper caused such an uproar in the medical research community that it led to rewriting of the rules for submission by members of their own scientific articles for the PNAS. His questions are still valid. Lives are at stake. We find the paucity of evidence published in standard peer-reviewed primary scientific journals that leads to the conclusion that “HIV causes AIDS” appalling. No amount of moralizing censorship, rhetorical tricks, consensus of opinion, pulling rank, obfuscation, ad hominem attacks or blustering newspaper editorials changes this fact. The conflation “HIV-AIDS” may be good marketing but is it science? No. Yet certainly the political and economic implications of the term “HIV-AIDS” are staggering. (See Harper’s March 2006 article “Out of Control” by Celia Farber).

Peter Duesberg continues his splendid 35-year research career at the University of California at Berkeley where, since 1986 he has been a member of the National Academy of Sciences and hence, eligible to publish any of his own scientific work. Although his government research funds (like ours, on a far smaller scale) were cut from $350,000 per year to zero, he continues investigations into the cause of cancer with work on aneuploidy.

Harvey Bialy’s book may be hard at times for readers with little or no background in this arcane science, but its riveting narrative documents the troubling censorship and punishment of a tenacious scientist seeking answers. Unjustifiably labelled “denialists”,

“homophobes”, “charlatans”, or “Nazis”, Bialy and Duesberg are foremost excellent scientists who follow David Bohm’s adage “Science is the search for truth, whether we like it or not”. It strains credulity to ascribe any other motivation to their stance.

“Cancer keeps more people alive than it kills” claimed a colleague who compared the ample federal budget for cancer research to that for “exobiology” i.e., all NASA’s life sciences investigation except manned spaceflight. Bialy’s “aneuploidy” in the title of his superb account of the state of life science funding refers to Duesberg’s turn of attention to the concept that “genes cause cancer”. Peculiar genes, touted to be responsive to other genes that reverse their action are called “oncogenes”. (As “onco..” refers to tumors, oncology is the study of cancer.) The other genes, to which oncogenes are responsive are called tumor-suppressor genes. Voilá, the onco.. gene causes the tumor, add the suppressor gene and the tumor disappears. This sort of facile equivocal language added to the universally agreed upon fact: tumor cells are aneuploid with high frequency, led Duesberg to pursue not prizes, just scientific truths.

Cells, in their nuclei, in the bodies of animals and plants are “diploid”. Nearly all of the billions of cells contain two sets of chromosomes. In humans the distinctive staining bodies, the chromosomes (made of protein and DNA) are present in pairs: 23 pairs to a total of 46 where one member of a pair is inherited from the mother and the other member from the father. Diploid here means “normal”. When sperm are made in men’s testes and eggs are produced in the ovaries of women the number of chromosomes per cell is halved such that the sex cells have only a single set. They are haploid, also normal. Fertilization (23+23=46) restores the number to the fertile egg that becomes the embryo. Aneuploidy refers to abnormalities, excursions from either haploidy or diploidy: 47 chromosomes, broken small extra chromosomes, etc. Cancer cells are aneuploid. Tumors form in the body at sites of chemical (nicotine, lungs) or mechanical (metal plates) irritation. The cells in those tumors tend to aneuploidy, all different kinds of aneuploidy that become more extreme as the tumor cells proliferate. Duesberg begins with these observations in his recent cancer research and ignores the kind of nonsense that Bialy exposes.

In Bialy’s “Hoofbeats on the road to the prize” (chapter 2) Bialy quotes an article by R.A. Weinberg, “The action of oncogenes in the cytoplasm and nucleus that summarized years of work and cost enormous amounts of money:

“This review attempts to synthesize much of the currently available data on these issues. It is written with the belief that much of the information about oncogenes will eventually be understandable in terms of a small number of mechanisms and that the outlines of some of these are gradually becoming apparent.” Science 230:770-776 (1985)

And Bialy, who supports Duesberg’s contention that there is as little evidence for oncogenes as there is that HIV causes AIDS, comments: “Even for those who have raised equivocal language to new standards, the escape clause in this [Weinberg’s] last sentence is truly extraordinary. With promises like these it is not surprising that twenty years later we are still waiting for the first biochemical pathway whose disruption by …a [point or otherwise] mutated oncogene or genes is necessary, let alone sufficient, “for the crud to get its start”(Bialy, p. 47).

As both Bialy and Duesberg emphasize, let us see the research results of those who show that cancer is “caused by an oncogene”and that “AIDS is caused by the rapidly mutating HIV virus”. Please point us to the published evidence.

Lynn Margulis and James MacAllister, University of Massachusetts-Amherst

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16 of 18 people found the following review helpful:

More to Duesberg than AIDS, July 12, 2006

Reviewer: Rebecca Culshaw - See all my reviews

(REAL NAME)

Many of the recent reviews posted on this page have been criticisms written by people who show no evidence of actually having read this book, but rather feel compelled to attack the book for the mere fact that it reports Duesberg’s controversial (but compelling) views on HIV and AIDS.

Although some of the book’s devastating - and fascinating - moments do indeed come when Bialy is exposing some of the more distasteful tactics behind what is surely the most politicized medical issue in history, by focusing on AIDS, many reviews will likely draw attention to a book that is equally important for what it reveals regarding the politics, and the science, of cancer research.

Beginning with Peter Duesberg’s unwelcome criticisms of the single gene mutation theory of carcinogenesis and leaving the reader with an introduction to the current theory of aneuploidy on which Duesberg now focuses his attention, Bialy weaves a tale of the man and his mission, which is simply to find out truth. Would that so many scientists have similar motives.

Bialy does his readers the service of never insulting their intelligence, so be warned that this book does get technical at times, but it’s worth the effort. Unexpectedly, it’s also quite funny and had me laughing aloud at times.

With the result of John Moore’s attempted slander on Amazon a total rout, Cornell’s Times Op-Ed writer and favorite son of David Ho and John Maddox has a further humiliation to worry about in the form of a defeat at the hands of Hank Barnes, anti-HIV blogger extraordinaire.

Lawyer uses Padian to defeat all comers, routs Moore

For last week Hank Barnes of Barnesworld, the alter ego of a busy lawyer in real life, reeled in his biggest fish to date, and it was none other than John Moore of Cornell. Moore seemed unable to escape Barnes’ net, and the blogger has been